Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.215266e-05 0.000049 0.000057 0.000066 0.000075 0.000085 0.000097
2025-01-26 3.166447e-05 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064 0.000078 0.000095 0.000114
2025-02-02 2.658489e-05 0.000037 0.000049 0.000065 0.000085 0.000107 0.000135
2025-02-09 2.198614e-05 0.000033 0.000047 0.000065 0.000088 0.000116 0.000151
2025-02-16 2.006542e-05 0.000032 0.000048 0.000069 0.000096 0.000130 0.000174
2025-02-23 1.701540e-05 0.000029 0.000045 0.000068 0.000099 0.000137 0.000188
2025-03-02 1.369039e-05 0.000025 0.000041 0.000065 0.000098 0.000140 0.000196
2025-03-09 1.134598e-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000063 0.000098 0.000144 0.000206
2025-03-16 9.499434e-06 0.000020 0.000036 0.000062 0.000099 0.000148 0.000216
2025-03-23 8.123166e-06 0.000018 0.000035 0.000062 0.000101 0.000154 0.000228
2025-03-30 6.886938e-06 0.000017 0.000033 0.000061 0.000102 0.000158 0.000239
2025-04-06 5.604306e-06 0.000015 0.000031 0.000058 0.000101 0.000160 0.000246
2025-04-13 4.252807e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000056 0.000099 0.000162 0.000254
2025-04-20 3.288442e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000054 0.000099 0.000166 0.000265
2025-04-27 2.878273e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000056 0.000105 0.000177 0.000286
2025-05-04 2.340205e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000055 0.000107 0.000184 0.000302
2025-05-11 2.204387e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000059 0.000115 0.000200 0.000330
2025-05-18 1.779963e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000058 0.000117 0.000207 0.000346
2025-05-25 1.280010e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000056 0.000115 0.000207 0.000352
2025-06-01 9.538666e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000054 0.000114 0.000210 0.000363
2025-06-08 7.123559e-07 0.000006 0.000020 0.000053 0.000115 0.000214 0.000374
2025-06-15 5.460218e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000052 0.000116 0.000220 0.000388
2025-06-22 4.048590e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000051 0.000117 0.000225 0.000401